Editorial Review:
An invaluable guide to a rapidly changing world Nearly two decades have passed since thepublication of the groundbreaking national bestsellerMegatrends--and a remarkable number of itscontroversial prophecies have come to pass. Nowthe forecasters who accurately predicted the shape ofthe '80s turn their sights on the coming new century.And what they see will astound, excite, and profoundlytouch the lives of each and every one of us. Cached date: AWS Called=true
You may also be interested in these products:
These categories may also be of interest to you:
Customer Reviews
Average Customer Rating: 
turned out to be useless 2008-08-10 I read this book, or rather a translation of it, when I was in college. Now, about 15 years later, I can judge how true or wrong the predictions were and how useful it has proven to be in my life.
Its 10 predictions, listed in another of the customer reviews, contain some that were obvious, such as increasing globalization. Others were dead wrong, such as prediction 2, "a rapid growth in participation in the fine and finer arts." or the "triumph of the individual in becoming free of institutional constraints". It completely missed some of the important trends 1990-2000, such as the World Wide Web and oil wars.
It retrospective I think the authors just wrote what readers want to hear, such as the "desire for deep personal experience", more fine arts, and the "triumph of the individual". The book's sales are likely based on rhetoric not content. Its predictive content is zero.
I regret having spent my time and college money on this book. With this review, I hope others will not waste their time on any of the subsequent editions.
No Internet! 2008-03-20 Guess what word does not appear in this book? That's right... INTERNET!
Not even once!
So Naisbitt missed the biggest trend of the nineties!
Some on the spot, some not 2007-01-15 Published at the end of the Senior Bush's administration, this book listed and explained ten trends that would reshape the world by 2000, as forecasted by empirical data collected by the author. When I first read this book in 1996, I was quite impressed by it, and believed that all the trends would come true. Hindisight ten years later shows that the book was actually quite prescient on many points. For example, the book correctly predicts the resurgence of nationalism in various parts of the world as the Cold War ended and the USSR broke up. Another predicted trend is the privatization of many social services in the US and other countries.
Other predictions, like the Asian takeover of the world economy, has not occurred. Specifically, the financial crises of the last half of the 1990s essentially eliminated fifteen years of profit, property price increases, and economic growth in Philippines, Indonesia, Taiwan, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. But all in all, still a good book, and a good reference source for economic data for the late 1980s and early 1990s. As futurist books come, this is one of the better ones to come out in the past several decades as the author uses a wealth of statistical information from numerous fields and sources to justify his claims.
Basically correct about 1990 decade 2006-04-30 I read this book, translated to the portuguese about six years ago.This book really was about 80% correct about the 1990 decade.There was some failures about the future in 1990 decade?Yes, but they were not big.Congratulations to both authors. The great problem of this book is that we are in 2006,not in 1986.Then, this book is now outdated.About 80% of prophecies in this book became present and then, some of then are now past. If we were living in 1986, I would give 5 stars for this book. Well, we are living in 2006, then I'll give just 3 stars for it.
Forrest for the trees 2004-05-30 The authors missed the point of the book, which should have been to forecast the future socio-economic trends, and not their personal desire. They barely mentioned the way technology started to shape the new century, and they were so focused on Europe being at peace for almost 50 years that totally forgot there were other countries with enough forces to create worldwire conflict (terrorism, oil interests, territorial struggle, ethnical issues, etc).My most honest advice is: don't bother, and don't waste your time, unless you simply want to see how much they failed at what they intended to do. The writing is too simplistic and barely factual, and there's no serious authoring or editing effort behind this "book".
|
|